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Experts Say Jordan in Danger - and Israel's Next in Line-Floods of refugees from regional turmoil could pose an existential threat to both Jordan and Israel - or result in a Palestinian state.By Cynthia Blank-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 2:16 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
In a new article, Professor Arnon Sofer, head of the Chaikin Chair of Geo-Strategy at the University of Haifa, and Anton Berkovsky discuss the danger of immigration from the turmoil-filled Arab states to Israel."Countries in the Middle East are currently in states of internal and external war, pressing the State of Israel to prepare for waves of immigrants from Arab countries to Israeli territory, which may endanger her existence," they wrote.According to Sofer and Berkovsky, the waves of immigrants already constitute a real danger to the future of Jordan. The worst case scenario being the movement of ISIS into Jordan, and subsequently creating a pure "Islamic State" within the country.According to the data presented in the article, 2013 showed a record number of immigrants in the world - more than 232 million people, or about 3.2% of the world's population. Professor Sofer suggests that the Middle East presents a unique picture. "Within 30 years (1950-1980), the population doubled, and in the next 30 years (1980-2010), the population doubled again. This is one of the main reasons why the demographics, economics, and politics of the Middle East have resulted in disorder and instability." Sofer added that climate changes which led to severe water shortages in areas like North East Syria near the border with Turkey and Iraq, should also be taken into account.Sofer argues that the events of the Arab Spring, the Civil War in Syria, and repeated crises in Iraq, have already created waves of refugees, resulting in demographic changes in the population map that are beyond recognition. According to estimates, following the Civil War in Syria, 3-4 million people became refugees outside of Syria, and another 8 million have become refugees in their own homeland. Wars between the various factions in Iraq have led to 750 thousand refugees, who have already left Iraq - mainly to Jordan, and another 3 million refugees inside Iraq. These refugees, who flood into neighboring countries cause societal changes that threaten the stability of such countries.The most troubling possibility is Jordan. A million to a million and a half refugees from Iraq and Syria have become part of the population of 6.5 million citizens of Jordan. The Palestinian population rate decreased from 70% to about 60% of the total population, according to the study, while the percentage of Syrian refugees is estimated between 8%-15%."The Jordan of 2014 presents a new ethnic mosaic, and the national dynamic has completely changed. It should be remembered that some of the refugees are intruders from extremist groups, such as ISIS. Other refugees are in such a terrible situation that it is easy for such radical groups to recruit them " noted Professor Sofer.Sofer suggests three possibilities: The first, and optimistic approach - allowing massive Western aid to maintain Jordan's stability; The second - The collapse of the kingdom and the outbreak of civil war, similar to the situation in Syria. In this scenario, Sofer envisions the Palestinians trying to take over the kingdom and establish a Palestinian state; The third and most dangerous option is for ISIS to take over large parts of the country thereby joining Jordan to their Sunni caliphate. The last two possibilities will cause hundreds of thousands of additional refugees to the Middle East.According to Prof. Sofer, if such events materialize and instability grows, there is a real danger to Israel. Not only would it mean the existence of unstable regimes, extreme and hostile, close to its borders, but also the fact that a considerable portion of the hundreds of thousands of refugees could attempt to enter Israel.The authors say that according to the 2013 data, an estimated 250,000 immigrants remained in Israel illegally. Additionally, thousands of Palestinians have entered Israel since 1967. The dangers of demographic turmoil taking place in neighboring countries could cause these numbers to grow significantly."Therefore, we must quickly prepare for new waves of immigration, in addition to those who have already entered Israel, mostly Palestinian and Arab immigrants from Syria, Jordan, Iraq, and Lebanon," concluded Professor Sofer.
Satan and a Jewish Woman Give Birth to ISIS in Iraqi Satire-'The Superstitious State' parodies brutality of 'Islamic State' - and throws in a little anti-Semitism for good measure.By Arutz Sheva Staff-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 2:57 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yx0Gu0PlNjI
Amid all the talk of empowering "moderate" Iraqi elements in order to combat the rise of the Islamic State (or ISIS), some might argue that the finer and sometimes more inconvenient points of the reality on the ground - such as American airstrikes directly aiding Iranian-backed militias, and the rampant corruption of the Iraqi government and deep sectarian grievances which helped fuel the conflict - have been overlooked, willfully or otherwise.So hey, what's a little anti-Semitism between allies? A trailer promoting a new TV satire mocking ISIS portrays the group as the offspring of a marriage between the devil... and a Jewess.It appears that even "moderation" is relative".Ironically, although the spoof trailer notes the way Iraqi Christians have been driven out of the country, it neglects to mention that Iraqi Jews were similarly ethnically-cleansed just a generation or two ago - by precisely the kind of latent anti-Semitism exhibited by the video.That being said, it's unlikely many Iraqi Jews are exactly pining to return, so good luck to them...
EU Rep in Gaza: 'Lots of Anger Here – Directed at Palestinians'-EU Representative John Gatt-Rutter warns of 'desperation' in Gaza, and senses much inter-Arab resentment there.By Hillel Fendel-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 10:50 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
John Gatt-Rutter, the EU's representative to the West Bank and Gaza, says, "There is a lot of anger in Gaza, and a lot of it is aimed at the Palestinians."Gatt-Rutter said he senses widespread despondency in Gaza and warns that it could lead to renewed warfare with Israel, reports the European Jewish Press. A month-long ceasefire currently underway has another 11 days before indirect negotiations between Israel and Hamas resume – or, Hamas threatens, it will again start firing rockets at Israel.“We are not hearing any good words [in Gaza] about anyone at the moment," Gatt-Rutter told reporters. The local population in Gaza is resentful that their major humanitarian needs have not been met, and that salaries have not been paid.Ironically, the tensions between Fatah and Hamas – the two branches of the Palestinian Authority – could actually be the trigger for renewed warfare with Israel. Fatah, headed by PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen), has threatened to dissolve the latest PA unity government if Hamas does not recognize “one authority, one gun, one law” in Gaza in the form of PA/Fatah control. If this threat materializes, this in turn will jeopardize the reconstruction efforts in Gaza, because the international donor countries will not rush to contribute funds that Fatah does not oversee.Another flashpoint between Hamas and Fatah is the concept of direct talks between Hamas and Israel. After a Hamas leader, Moussa Abu Marzouk, said recently that Hamas was ready to negotiate directly with "Tel Aviv" – it does not recognize Jerusalem as the Jewish capital – Fatah spokesman Ahmed Assaf basically accused Hamas of "treason" for the idea: "Since when do Palestinian factions negotiate with Israel on their own? Isn't this treason and a threat to the unity of Palestinians and their political position?"Yet another point of contention between Fatah and Hamas is the notion that troops of the former will man the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt in the framework of future arrangements. Egypt and other countries support this idea, but Hamas does not.
Cruelty is Simply a Part of Islam, Says Expert-Islamic State's head-chopping barbarity is not different from everyday Islamic cruelty, says Prof. Rafi Israeli.By Shimon Cohen, Gil Ronen-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 9:21 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
Professor Rafi Israeli, an expert on Islam and the Arab world, told Arutz Sheva Sunday that while the world is appalled by Islamic State's decapitation murders of western journalists, we must not forget that Islam kills hundreds of people daily in various hotspots throughout the globe."We ignore this cruelty which is an everyday occurrence,” said Israeli. In the genocide at Dafur, for instance, “Muslims killed other Muslims. They do it to their own people by the thousands. There is nothing new here.”Prof. Israeli said that the basis for these acts is the fact that Islam has a basic disregard for human life. “For them it is not sacred, like it is for us.”The Koran, he noted, calls on Muslims to spread terror among their enemies without specifying who they are. In effect, this statement commands a Muslim to kill and terrorize all those he perceives as enemies, including fellow Muslims. The Muslims who act upon this are fanatics who are convinced that only their beliefs are true, and everyone else is wrong – and can therefore be killed."Every day in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Darfur, Iraq or Yemen, they kill hundreds,” explained Israeli. “Nowhere is there such disregard for human life, like in Islam. For the Sunnis, Shiites are worse than the Jews.”Muslim law determines that a person who was a Muslim and left the faith should be killed. Thieves' hands are cut off, and disrespect for the prophet Mohammed is a cause for mass murder.At the core, he added, Islam is a religious faith that lacks self confidence. Because of this, any offense to it can rattle the faith of the Muslim and therefore requires a harsh, violent and cruel reaction.This, too, he explained, is the core reason for the demand by 57 UN member countries to pass a universal law forbidding any attack upon Islam. “This is a fanatic perception rooted in lack of confidence and a lack of conviction regarding faith.”Prof. Israeli does not think that the problem lies only with extremist Muslims. While it is the extremists who carry out the murders, they enjoy the support of the general population. This, he added, is why the US is having such trouble cobbling together a coalition against the Islamic State. Muslims are not interested in fighting fellow Muslims and would prefer to leave the task for the West.In this state of affairs, the expert said, there is no way to defeat Islamic State and the radical Islamic movements at present. Israel must make clear that whoever touches it will feel the great wrath of the IDF, and just as Hamas and Hezbollah understood this, so will Islamic State, he stated.
Israel intelligence hits back over refuseniks' letter-AFP-SEPT 14,14-YAHOONEWS
Jerusalem (AFP) - Scores of veterans of elite Israeli intelligence unit 8200 rallied to its defence Sunday after 43 comrades said they would no longer take part in its "injustices" against millions of Palestinians.The open letter, which was sent to Israel's political and military leadership last week, was one of the most high-profile expressions of conscientious objection in years.The signatories -- reservists and former members of 8200 -- said the intelligence collected by the unit "was an integral part of Israel's military occupation", and that they would refuse to continue to serve.They charged that information gathered by Unit 8200 was used by civilian intelligence agencies to coerce Palestinians uninvolved in militant activity, and urged other members of the intelligence corps "to speak out against these injustices and to take action to bring them to an end".But in a letter of reply on Sunday, 200 veterans of the unit denounced their former comrades' refusal to serve."We wish to express shock, disgust and complete disassociation from the regrettable letter that was written by our comrades from the unit," they wrote in the letter, excerpts of which were published in the top-selling Yediot Aharonot newspaper."Political refusal to serve has no place anywhere, and particularly so in Unit 8200. The moment we, as soldiers in the reserves, are called to the flag, we set aside our political inclinations and opinions, and come to serve the state."Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said any form of refusing military service was "condemnable", calling the refuseniks' move "political" and based on "unfounded accusations". "This is unacceptable," he said at a cyber security conference in Tel Aviv.Commentators said that the fact that the refuseniks were members of one of Israel's most prestigious military units made their conscientious objection all the more remarkable."The Unit 8200 letter represents a watershed moment in the expressions of military refusal in recent decades," wrote Shimon Shiffer in Yediot Aharonot."This time, we are talking about intelligence gatherers who are refusing to spy on millions of Palestinians."Unit 8200 carries out electronic communications monitoring and surveillance, similar to work performed by the US National Security Agency and Britain's GCHQ.The unit is one component of the broader military intelligence corps and shares information with Israel's civilian intelligence agencies.The refuseniks' letter drew criticism from both the government and the opposition.Defence Minister Moshe Yaalon described it as a "foolish and offensive attempt" to harm the unit.Opposition leader Isaac Herzog, himself a veteran of Unit 8200, said he opposed soldiers refusing to serve."I'm not saying that there are no mistakes. It is certainly possible that there were," he wrote on his official Facebook page."But there are ways to complain and ensure such claims are examined and discussed," he said.
Experts Say Jordan in Danger - and Israel's Next in Line-Floods of refugees from regional turmoil could pose an existential threat to both Jordan and Israel - or result in a Palestinian state.By Cynthia Blank-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 2:16 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
In a new article, Professor Arnon Sofer, head of the Chaikin Chair of Geo-Strategy at the University of Haifa, and Anton Berkovsky discuss the danger of immigration from the turmoil-filled Arab states to Israel."Countries in the Middle East are currently in states of internal and external war, pressing the State of Israel to prepare for waves of immigrants from Arab countries to Israeli territory, which may endanger her existence," they wrote.According to Sofer and Berkovsky, the waves of immigrants already constitute a real danger to the future of Jordan. The worst case scenario being the movement of ISIS into Jordan, and subsequently creating a pure "Islamic State" within the country.According to the data presented in the article, 2013 showed a record number of immigrants in the world - more than 232 million people, or about 3.2% of the world's population. Professor Sofer suggests that the Middle East presents a unique picture. "Within 30 years (1950-1980), the population doubled, and in the next 30 years (1980-2010), the population doubled again. This is one of the main reasons why the demographics, economics, and politics of the Middle East have resulted in disorder and instability." Sofer added that climate changes which led to severe water shortages in areas like North East Syria near the border with Turkey and Iraq, should also be taken into account.Sofer argues that the events of the Arab Spring, the Civil War in Syria, and repeated crises in Iraq, have already created waves of refugees, resulting in demographic changes in the population map that are beyond recognition. According to estimates, following the Civil War in Syria, 3-4 million people became refugees outside of Syria, and another 8 million have become refugees in their own homeland. Wars between the various factions in Iraq have led to 750 thousand refugees, who have already left Iraq - mainly to Jordan, and another 3 million refugees inside Iraq. These refugees, who flood into neighboring countries cause societal changes that threaten the stability of such countries.The most troubling possibility is Jordan. A million to a million and a half refugees from Iraq and Syria have become part of the population of 6.5 million citizens of Jordan. The Palestinian population rate decreased from 70% to about 60% of the total population, according to the study, while the percentage of Syrian refugees is estimated between 8%-15%."The Jordan of 2014 presents a new ethnic mosaic, and the national dynamic has completely changed. It should be remembered that some of the refugees are intruders from extremist groups, such as ISIS. Other refugees are in such a terrible situation that it is easy for such radical groups to recruit them " noted Professor Sofer.Sofer suggests three possibilities: The first, and optimistic approach - allowing massive Western aid to maintain Jordan's stability; The second - The collapse of the kingdom and the outbreak of civil war, similar to the situation in Syria. In this scenario, Sofer envisions the Palestinians trying to take over the kingdom and establish a Palestinian state; The third and most dangerous option is for ISIS to take over large parts of the country thereby joining Jordan to their Sunni caliphate. The last two possibilities will cause hundreds of thousands of additional refugees to the Middle East.According to Prof. Sofer, if such events materialize and instability grows, there is a real danger to Israel. Not only would it mean the existence of unstable regimes, extreme and hostile, close to its borders, but also the fact that a considerable portion of the hundreds of thousands of refugees could attempt to enter Israel.The authors say that according to the 2013 data, an estimated 250,000 immigrants remained in Israel illegally. Additionally, thousands of Palestinians have entered Israel since 1967. The dangers of demographic turmoil taking place in neighboring countries could cause these numbers to grow significantly."Therefore, we must quickly prepare for new waves of immigration, in addition to those who have already entered Israel, mostly Palestinian and Arab immigrants from Syria, Jordan, Iraq, and Lebanon," concluded Professor Sofer.
Satan and a Jewish Woman Give Birth to ISIS in Iraqi Satire-'The Superstitious State' parodies brutality of 'Islamic State' - and throws in a little anti-Semitism for good measure.By Arutz Sheva Staff-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 2:57 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Yx0Gu0PlNjI
Amid all the talk of empowering "moderate" Iraqi elements in order to combat the rise of the Islamic State (or ISIS), some might argue that the finer and sometimes more inconvenient points of the reality on the ground - such as American airstrikes directly aiding Iranian-backed militias, and the rampant corruption of the Iraqi government and deep sectarian grievances which helped fuel the conflict - have been overlooked, willfully or otherwise.So hey, what's a little anti-Semitism between allies? A trailer promoting a new TV satire mocking ISIS portrays the group as the offspring of a marriage between the devil... and a Jewess.It appears that even "moderation" is relative".Ironically, although the spoof trailer notes the way Iraqi Christians have been driven out of the country, it neglects to mention that Iraqi Jews were similarly ethnically-cleansed just a generation or two ago - by precisely the kind of latent anti-Semitism exhibited by the video.That being said, it's unlikely many Iraqi Jews are exactly pining to return, so good luck to them...
EU Rep in Gaza: 'Lots of Anger Here – Directed at Palestinians'-EU Representative John Gatt-Rutter warns of 'desperation' in Gaza, and senses much inter-Arab resentment there.By Hillel Fendel-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 10:50 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
John Gatt-Rutter, the EU's representative to the West Bank and Gaza, says, "There is a lot of anger in Gaza, and a lot of it is aimed at the Palestinians."Gatt-Rutter said he senses widespread despondency in Gaza and warns that it could lead to renewed warfare with Israel, reports the European Jewish Press. A month-long ceasefire currently underway has another 11 days before indirect negotiations between Israel and Hamas resume – or, Hamas threatens, it will again start firing rockets at Israel.“We are not hearing any good words [in Gaza] about anyone at the moment," Gatt-Rutter told reporters. The local population in Gaza is resentful that their major humanitarian needs have not been met, and that salaries have not been paid.Ironically, the tensions between Fatah and Hamas – the two branches of the Palestinian Authority – could actually be the trigger for renewed warfare with Israel. Fatah, headed by PA chairman Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen), has threatened to dissolve the latest PA unity government if Hamas does not recognize “one authority, one gun, one law” in Gaza in the form of PA/Fatah control. If this threat materializes, this in turn will jeopardize the reconstruction efforts in Gaza, because the international donor countries will not rush to contribute funds that Fatah does not oversee.Another flashpoint between Hamas and Fatah is the concept of direct talks between Hamas and Israel. After a Hamas leader, Moussa Abu Marzouk, said recently that Hamas was ready to negotiate directly with "Tel Aviv" – it does not recognize Jerusalem as the Jewish capital – Fatah spokesman Ahmed Assaf basically accused Hamas of "treason" for the idea: "Since when do Palestinian factions negotiate with Israel on their own? Isn't this treason and a threat to the unity of Palestinians and their political position?"Yet another point of contention between Fatah and Hamas is the notion that troops of the former will man the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt in the framework of future arrangements. Egypt and other countries support this idea, but Hamas does not.
Cruelty is Simply a Part of Islam, Says Expert-Islamic State's head-chopping barbarity is not different from everyday Islamic cruelty, says Prof. Rafi Israeli.By Shimon Cohen, Gil Ronen-First Publish: 9/14/2014, 9:21 PM-ISRAELNATIONALNEWS
Professor Rafi Israeli, an expert on Islam and the Arab world, told Arutz Sheva Sunday that while the world is appalled by Islamic State's decapitation murders of western journalists, we must not forget that Islam kills hundreds of people daily in various hotspots throughout the globe."We ignore this cruelty which is an everyday occurrence,” said Israeli. In the genocide at Dafur, for instance, “Muslims killed other Muslims. They do it to their own people by the thousands. There is nothing new here.”Prof. Israeli said that the basis for these acts is the fact that Islam has a basic disregard for human life. “For them it is not sacred, like it is for us.”The Koran, he noted, calls on Muslims to spread terror among their enemies without specifying who they are. In effect, this statement commands a Muslim to kill and terrorize all those he perceives as enemies, including fellow Muslims. The Muslims who act upon this are fanatics who are convinced that only their beliefs are true, and everyone else is wrong – and can therefore be killed."Every day in Pakistan, Afghanistan, Darfur, Iraq or Yemen, they kill hundreds,” explained Israeli. “Nowhere is there such disregard for human life, like in Islam. For the Sunnis, Shiites are worse than the Jews.”Muslim law determines that a person who was a Muslim and left the faith should be killed. Thieves' hands are cut off, and disrespect for the prophet Mohammed is a cause for mass murder.At the core, he added, Islam is a religious faith that lacks self confidence. Because of this, any offense to it can rattle the faith of the Muslim and therefore requires a harsh, violent and cruel reaction.This, too, he explained, is the core reason for the demand by 57 UN member countries to pass a universal law forbidding any attack upon Islam. “This is a fanatic perception rooted in lack of confidence and a lack of conviction regarding faith.”Prof. Israeli does not think that the problem lies only with extremist Muslims. While it is the extremists who carry out the murders, they enjoy the support of the general population. This, he added, is why the US is having such trouble cobbling together a coalition against the Islamic State. Muslims are not interested in fighting fellow Muslims and would prefer to leave the task for the West.In this state of affairs, the expert said, there is no way to defeat Islamic State and the radical Islamic movements at present. Israel must make clear that whoever touches it will feel the great wrath of the IDF, and just as Hamas and Hezbollah understood this, so will Islamic State, he stated.
Israel intelligence hits back over refuseniks' letter-AFP-SEPT 14,14-YAHOONEWS
Jerusalem (AFP) - Scores of veterans of elite Israeli intelligence unit 8200 rallied to its defence Sunday after 43 comrades said they would no longer take part in its "injustices" against millions of Palestinians.The open letter, which was sent to Israel's political and military leadership last week, was one of the most high-profile expressions of conscientious objection in years.The signatories -- reservists and former members of 8200 -- said the intelligence collected by the unit "was an integral part of Israel's military occupation", and that they would refuse to continue to serve.They charged that information gathered by Unit 8200 was used by civilian intelligence agencies to coerce Palestinians uninvolved in militant activity, and urged other members of the intelligence corps "to speak out against these injustices and to take action to bring them to an end".But in a letter of reply on Sunday, 200 veterans of the unit denounced their former comrades' refusal to serve."We wish to express shock, disgust and complete disassociation from the regrettable letter that was written by our comrades from the unit," they wrote in the letter, excerpts of which were published in the top-selling Yediot Aharonot newspaper."Political refusal to serve has no place anywhere, and particularly so in Unit 8200. The moment we, as soldiers in the reserves, are called to the flag, we set aside our political inclinations and opinions, and come to serve the state."Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said any form of refusing military service was "condemnable", calling the refuseniks' move "political" and based on "unfounded accusations". "This is unacceptable," he said at a cyber security conference in Tel Aviv.Commentators said that the fact that the refuseniks were members of one of Israel's most prestigious military units made their conscientious objection all the more remarkable."The Unit 8200 letter represents a watershed moment in the expressions of military refusal in recent decades," wrote Shimon Shiffer in Yediot Aharonot."This time, we are talking about intelligence gatherers who are refusing to spy on millions of Palestinians."Unit 8200 carries out electronic communications monitoring and surveillance, similar to work performed by the US National Security Agency and Britain's GCHQ.The unit is one component of the broader military intelligence corps and shares information with Israel's civilian intelligence agencies.The refuseniks' letter drew criticism from both the government and the opposition.Defence Minister Moshe Yaalon described it as a "foolish and offensive attempt" to harm the unit.Opposition leader Isaac Herzog, himself a veteran of Unit 8200, said he opposed soldiers refusing to serve."I'm not saying that there are no mistakes. It is certainly possible that there were," he wrote on his official Facebook page."But there are ways to complain and ensure such claims are examined and discussed," he said.
